Ill-informed consensus or truthful disagreement? How argumentation styles and preference perceptions affect deliberation outcomes in groups with conflicting stakes

Project info

Work package
  • Synthesis
Sustainability threat
  • Feedback Cycles
Challenge
  • Dealing with diversity

Study info

Description of Study
In groups where members deliberate with limited information, consensus can emerge where, under complete information, fundamental disagreement would prevail. Using an agent-based model, we explore the factors contributing to group consensus by comparing argumentation styles in two types of groups: agents in groups of advocates communicate arguments for options perceived as personally beneficial. Agents in groups of diplomats do the same but avoid disagreement in that they bring up arguments supporting a second-best option whenever their interaction partner perceives to benefit the least from what the sender finds best. Results show that consensus depends on argumentation style, but also on what members initially perceive as preferred. Diplomats are more likely to form consensus when initial perceptions accurately align with full information preferences, which diverge within the group. Conversely, and perhaps counterintuitively, in the presence of inaccurate initial perceptions, groups of advocates converge while diplomats part in disagreement. Our results imply that the ideal argumentation style must be considered carefully in light of both the desired outcome and the initial information distribution: when conflicting stakes produce a trade-off between consensus and truthful perceptions, polite versus selfish ways of deliberation may produce one or the other outcome, depending on the initial information members are equipped with.
Study research question
We can place a Habermas-inspired ideal of reasonable debate, represented by diplomatic interlocutors, against a Mouffe-inspired ideal of agonistic debate, represented by vocal advocates. Both camps have arguments going for them and this leads us to ask: which of these strategies is more conducive to achieving an outcome of truthful disagreement or ill-informed consensus?
Collection provenance
  • Collected during project
Collection methods
  • Simulation
Personal data
No
External Source
Source description
File formats
Data types
  • Structured
Languages
  • English
Coverage start
Coverage end
Spatial coverage
Collection period start
01/01/2023
Collection period end
01/05/2024

Variables

Unit
Unit description
Sample size
Sampling method
Experimental Group
Simulated discussion groups with two subgroups
5000
nA - Simulation
Hypothesis
Theory
Diplomats form consensus more often than advocates.
Reasonable debate (Habermas)
Advocates form consensus more often than diplomats.
Agonistic pluralism (Mouffe)
Variable type
Variable name
Variable description
Dependent variable
Deliberation outcome
Whether a simulated groups find consensus on a decision option or parts in disagreement.
Independent variable
Argumentation style
Whether simulated groups consist of members that avoid overt disagreement with discussion partners (diplomats) or whether members always argue for what they think best (advocates).
Independent variable
Preference divergence
The extent to which preferences across subgroups diverge.
Discipline-specific operationalizations
Conflict of interest
Nothing to declare

Data packages

Ill-informed consensus or truthful disagreement? How argumentation styles and preference perceptions affect deliberation outcomes in groups with conflicting stakes

Description
replication package
Accessibility
Open Access
Repository
OSF
User license
Retention period
10

Publications

under review at Erkenntnis

Documents

Filename
Description
Date

Ethics

Ethical assessment
No
Ethical committee
Not applicable - no personal or otherwise sensitive data.